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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

Mar 28

Mar 29

Apr 1

15°C 30%

16°C 25%

14°C 20%

17°C or higher 19%

Polymarket
NEW

15°C 30%

16°C 25%

14°C 20%

17°C or higher 19%

Polymarket
NEW

7°C or below

$301 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$348 Vol.

2%

9°C

$570 Vol.

3%

10°C

$728 Vol.

3%

11°C

$44 Vol.

9%

12°C

$71 Vol.

9%

13°C

$51 Vol.

11%

14°C

$57 Vol.

20%

15°C

$83 Vol.

30%

16°C

$70 Vol.

25%

17°C or higher

$221 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 near 14–15°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 15°C leads at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (25%) and 14°C (21%). This clustering reflects consensus amid short-range uncertainty from variable low-level stratus clouds lingering post-recent cool spell, potentially capping insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while weak southerly flow supports modest afternoon heating to 16–17°C if clearing occurs. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance echoes this, with historical early-April highs averaging 14°C under continental spring patterns. Key differentiators include midday cloud opacity versus thinning; new model runs every 6–12 hours could refine odds before resolution using official Ankara station data.

Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 near 14–15°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 15°C leads at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (25%) and 14°C (21%). This clustering reflects consensus amid short-range uncertainty from variable low-level stratus clouds lingering post-recent cool spell, potentially capping insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while weak southerly flow supports modest afternoon heating to 16–17°C if clearing occurs. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance echoes this, with historical early-April highs averaging 14°C under continental spring patterns. Key differentiators include midday cloud opacity versus thinning; new model runs every 6–12 hours could refine odds before resolution using official Ankara station data.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 near 14–15°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 15°C leads at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (25%) and 14°C (21%). This clustering reflects consensus amid short-range uncertainty from variable low-level stratus clouds lingering post-recent cool spell, potentially capping insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while weak southerly flow supports modest afternoon heating to 16–17°C if clearing occurs. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance echoes this, with historical early-April highs averaging 14°C under continental spring patterns. Key differentiators include midday cloud opacity versus thinning; new model runs every 6–12 hours could refine odds before resolution using official Ankara station data.

Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Ankara's highest temperature on April 1 near 14–15°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 15°C leads at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (25%) and 14°C (21%). This clustering reflects consensus amid short-range uncertainty from variable low-level stratus clouds lingering post-recent cool spell, potentially capping insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while weak southerly flow supports modest afternoon heating to 16–17°C if clearing occurs. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance echoes this, with historical early-April highs averaging 14°C under continental spring patterns. Key differentiators include midday cloud opacity versus thinning; new model runs every 6–12 hours could refine odds before resolution using official Ankara station data.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15°C" con 30%, seguido de "16°C" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 30¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" es "15°C" con 30%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "16°C" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.