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¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

14°C 27%

15°C 21%

13°C 17%

16°C 12%

Polymarket

$111,569 Vol.

14°C 27%

15°C 21%

13°C 17%

16°C 12%

Polymarket

$111,569 Vol.

7°C o menos

$16,210 Vol.

1%

8°C

$13,803 Vol.

1%

9°C

$9,968 Vol.

1%

10°C

$13,509 Vol.

2%

11°C

$8,645 Vol.

2%

12°C

$8,614 Vol.

6%

13°C

$8,046 Vol.

17%

14°C

$5,407 Vol.

27%

15°C

$4,543 Vol.

21%

16°C

$5,280 Vol.

12%

17°C o más

$17,700 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at around 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with haze and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 14°C leading at 26% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 15°C (21%) and 13°C (17%). Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KMA shows a tight 2–3°C spread, differentiated primarily by afternoon cloud cover dynamics: persistent stratus layers would suppress solar insolation to favor 13°C, while brief breaks could enable convective heating for 15°C peaks near midday. Light easterly winds and neutral spring synoptic patterns limit atmospheric mixing, amplifying local insolation uncertainty. KMA hourly updates through March 28 evening may refine guidance ahead of official station resolution.

Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at around 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with haze and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 14°C leading at 26% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 15°C (21%) and 13°C (17%). Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KMA shows a tight 2–3°C spread, differentiated primarily by afternoon cloud cover dynamics: persistent stratus layers would suppress solar insolation to favor 13°C, while brief breaks could enable convective heating for 15°C peaks near midday. Light easterly winds and neutral spring synoptic patterns limit atmospheric mixing, amplifying local insolation uncertainty. KMA hourly updates through March 28 evening may refine guidance ahead of official station resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at around 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with haze and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 14°C leading at 26% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 15°C (21%) and 13°C (17%). Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KMA shows a tight 2–3°C spread, differentiated primarily by afternoon cloud cover dynamics: persistent stratus layers would suppress solar insolation to favor 13°C, while brief breaks could enable convective heating for 15°C peaks near midday. Light easterly winds and neutral spring synoptic patterns limit atmospheric mixing, amplifying local insolation uncertainty. KMA hourly updates through March 28 evening may refine guidance ahead of official station resolution.

Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on March 29 at around 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with haze and low precipitation risk, anchoring trader sentiment with 14°C leading at 26% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 15°C (21%) and 13°C (17%). Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KMA shows a tight 2–3°C spread, differentiated primarily by afternoon cloud cover dynamics: persistent stratus layers would suppress solar insolation to favor 13°C, while brief breaks could enable convective heating for 15°C peaks near midday. Light easterly winds and neutral spring synoptic patterns limit atmospheric mixing, amplifying local insolation uncertainty. KMA hourly updates through March 28 evening may refine guidance ahead of official station resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "14°C" con 27%, seguido de "15°C" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $111.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" es "14°C" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "15°C" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.