Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
17°C or higher 26%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
14°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
14%
8°C
12%
9°C
14%
10°C
13%
11°C
15%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
18%
16°C
19%
17°C or higher
26%
17°C or higher 26%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
14°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
14%
8°C
$0 Vol.
12%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
15%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Moscow's highest temperature April 17 reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF diverging on the track of an incoming low-pressure system from the northwest, pitting cool northerly flows (favoring ≤7°C at 25.5% implied probability) against a possible ridge-induced warm advection (≥17°C also 25.5%). Current observations from Rosgidromet show April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with Yandex Weather's 14°C daytime max projection for the 17th amid light winds and partial cloudiness. Historical mid-April averages hover at 12°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to upper-air patterns; updated ensembles expected every 12 hours could resolve the split before the daily maximum observation at Vnukovo Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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