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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?

abr 16

abr 17

abr 16

abr 17

29°C 27%

28°C 25%

30°C 24%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$12,878 Vol.

29°C 27%

28°C 25%

30°C 24%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$12,878 Vol.

22°C or below

$1,281 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$2,196 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,343 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,757 Vol.

1%

26°C

$1,563 Vol.

4%

27°C

$648 Vol.

9%

28°C

$442 Vol.

25%

29°C

$327 Vol.

27%

30°C

$1,114 Vol.

24%

31°C

$1,633 Vol.

8%

32°C or higher

$658 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, via the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, project a maximum temperature of 28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station on April 17 amid cloudy conditions and south winds at 2-3 force, driving trader consensus with 29% implied probability on 28°C. This edges out 30°C (26%) and 29°C (25.5%) due to expected cloud cover suppressing peak heating by 1-2°C through reduced insolation, though global models diverge—YR.no at 30°C, timeanddate.com higher—reflecting uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential partial clearing. April climatology averages 27°C highs, but recent warmer days (today's 30°C forecast) add upside risk; watch hourly airport observations for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,878
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, via the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, project a maximum temperature of 28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station on April 17 amid cloudy conditions and south winds at 2-3 force, driving trader consensus with 29% implied probability on 28°C. This edges out 30°C (26%) and 29°C (25.5%) due to expected cloud cover suppressing peak heating by 1-2°C through reduced insolation, though global models diverge—YR.no at 30°C, timeanddate.com higher—reflecting uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential partial clearing. April climatology averages 27°C highs, but recent warmer days (today's 30°C forecast) add upside risk; watch hourly airport observations for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,878
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "29°C" con 27%, seguido de "28°C" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?" ha generado $12.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?" es "29°C" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "28°C" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.