Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (32.0%) for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models clustering peaks in the late teens Celsius amid mild spring conditions. Recent JMA updates and ensemble guidance show slight divergence due to uncertain cloud cover from a passing frontal boundary and moderating sea breezes, which could cap afternoon heating at 17-18°C or allow brief spikes to 19°C under clearer skies. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C at Tokyo stations, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C variability. JMA's final short-range forecast, due later today, will refine diurnal temperature profiles ahead of tomorrow's official measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de abril?
18°C 36%
19°C 33%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$17,362 Vol.
$17,362 Vol.
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
36%
19°C
33%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C o más
3%
18°C 36%
19°C 33%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$17,362 Vol.
$17,362 Vol.
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
36%
19°C
33%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (32.0%) for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models clustering peaks in the late teens Celsius amid mild spring conditions. Recent JMA updates and ensemble guidance show slight divergence due to uncertain cloud cover from a passing frontal boundary and moderating sea breezes, which could cap afternoon heating at 17-18°C or allow brief spikes to 19°C under clearer skies. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C at Tokyo stations, with urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C variability. JMA's final short-range forecast, due later today, will refine diurnal temperature profiles ahead of tomorrow's official measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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