Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada, projecting a sunny high of 28°C in Toronto on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, form the primary driver behind the market's heavy weighting toward 27–28°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover support these levels near seasonal norms, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could cap the peak at 27°C. Traders' implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ reflecting limited scope for significant deviations in the final 24-hour period before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 18 de agosto?
27°C 50%
28°C 31%
26°C 11%
29°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
50%
28°C
31%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 31%
26°C 11%
29°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
50%
28°C
31%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada, projecting a sunny high of 28°C in Toronto on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, form the primary driver behind the market's heavy weighting toward 27–28°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover support these levels near seasonal norms, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could cap the peak at 27°C. Traders' implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ reflecting limited scope for significant deviations in the final 24-hour period before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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