Skip to main content
Market icon
World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Civil Contract 90%

Armenia Alliance 6%

Prosperous Armenia 2.6%

Heritage 2.3%

Polymarket

$103,314 Vol.

Civil Contract 90%

Armenia Alliance 6%

Prosperous Armenia 2.6%

Heritage 2.3%

Polymarket

$103,314 Vol.

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Civil Contract

$41,427 Vol.

90%

Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Armenia Alliance

$49,639 Vol.

6%

Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Prosperous Armenia

$1,554 Vol.

3%

Will Heritage win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Heritage

$1,761 Vol.

2%

Will Armenian National Congress win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Armenian National Congress

$2,006 Vol.

2%

Will Orinats Yerkir win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Orinats Yerkir

$1,807 Vol.

2%

Will Bright Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Bright Armenia

$2,248 Vol.

1%

Will I Have Honor Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

I Have Honor Alliance

$1,405 Vol.

1%

Will Hanrapetutyun Party win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? icon

Hanrapetutyun Party

$1,468 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by recent EVN Report polling from April 7 showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead among voters, with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan unanimously nominated as its candidate on April 4. Fragmented opposition—including Armenia Alliance, Prosperous Armenia, and Heritage—struggles with low poll numbers and internal divisions, while 30% undecided voters from March surveys appear tilting toward the ruling party amid ongoing peace process diplomacy and foreign policy shifts away from Russia. No major scandals have disrupted this momentum, though church-state tensions and vote-buying arrests could influence turnout; late-breaking events like regional escalations remain potential wild cards before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$103,314
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by recent EVN Report polling from April 7 showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead among voters, with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan unanimously nominated as its candidate on April 4. Fragmented opposition—including Armenia Alliance, Prosperous Armenia, and Heritage—struggles with low poll numbers and internal divisions, while 30% undecided voters from March surveys appear tilting toward the ruling party amid ongoing peace process diplomacy and foreign policy shifts away from Russia. No major scandals have disrupted this momentum, though church-state tensions and vote-buying arrests could influence turnout; late-breaking events like regional escalations remain potential wild cards before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$103,314
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Civil Contract" at 90%, followed by "Armenia Alliance" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $103.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Civil Contract" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Armenia Alliance" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.