Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a BJP victory at 96% in the Assam Legislative Assembly election, reflecting consistent pre-poll surveys like ABP-Matrize projecting the NDA alliance 92–102 seats in the 126-member house—far exceeding the 64 needed for majority government—and post-polling ground reports echoing this dominance. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, welfare schemes, and job creation have solidified support amid opposition fragmentation, with INC at 3% trailing due to defections and weak alliances including AIUDF. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9 underscores high stakes, but counting on May 4 awaits final tally. Barring major vote discrepancies, recounts, or legal challenges, this commanding position holds firm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAssam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
BJP 96.0%
INC 3.0%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,364 Vol.
$60,364 Vol.
May 20, 2026
BJP
96%
INC
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.0%
INC 3.0%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$60,364 Vol.
$60,364 Vol.
May 20, 2026
BJP
$11,682 Vol.
96%
INC
$7,393 Vol.
3%
AITC
$4,503 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,830 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$4,181 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$4,917 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$4,458 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$8,605 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$5,154 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$4,642 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a BJP victory at 96% in the Assam Legislative Assembly election, reflecting consistent pre-poll surveys like ABP-Matrize projecting the NDA alliance 92–102 seats in the 126-member house—far exceeding the 64 needed for majority government—and post-polling ground reports echoing this dominance. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, welfare schemes, and job creation have solidified support amid opposition fragmentation, with INC at 3% trailing due to defections and weak alliances including AIUDF. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9 underscores high stakes, but counting on May 4 awaits final tally. Barring major vote discrepancies, recounts, or legal challenges, this commanding position holds firm.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$60,364End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a BJP victory at 96% in the Assam Legislative Assembly election, reflecting consistent pre-poll surveys like ABP-Matrize projecting the NDA alliance 92–102 seats in the 126-member house—far exceeding the 64 needed for majority government—and post-polling ground reports echoing this dominance. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, welfare schemes, and job creation have solidified support amid opposition fragmentation, with INC at 3% trailing due to defections and weak alliances including AIUDF. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9 underscores high stakes, but counting on May 4 awaits final tally. Barring major vote discrepancies, recounts, or legal challenges, this commanding position holds firm.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$60,364End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a BJP victory at 96% in the Assam Legislative Assembly election, reflecting consistent pre-poll surveys like ABP-Matrize projecting the NDA alliance 92–102 seats in the 126-member house—far exceeding the 64 needed for majority government—and post-polling ground reports echoing this dominance. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's development record, welfare schemes, and job creation have solidified support amid opposition fragmentation, with INC at 3% trailing due to defections and weak alliances including AIUDF. Record 85% voter turnout on April 9 underscores high stakes, but counting on May 4 awaits final tally. Barring major vote discrepancies, recounts, or legal challenges, this commanding position holds firm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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