Polls aggregated ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, surging to a commanding lead around 30-31% amid voter frustration with corruption and repeated elections since 2021, positioning GERB-SDS in a solid second at 20-21% on its established center-right base and incumbency advantages from prior coalitions. PP–DB trails at 12%, with DPS and Vazrazhdane further back, reflecting trader consensus on proportional representation seat math favoring GERB-SDS for second-most seats. Recent vote-buying crackdowns, including arrests and over €1 million seized, have stabilized sentiment without shifting leads. While commanding at 95%, a late scandal targeting GERB-SDS or PB turnout collapse could enable PP–DB or DPS to challenge, though polls indicate low risk before Sunday's vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PP–DB 3.3%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,316 Vol.
$58,316 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
GERB-SDS
95%
PP–DB
3%
PB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PP–DB 3.3%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,316 Vol.
$58,316 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
GERB-SDS
$24,886 Vol.
95%
PP–DB
$7,974 Vol.
3%
PB
$8,458 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Polls aggregated ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, surging to a commanding lead around 30-31% amid voter frustration with corruption and repeated elections since 2021, positioning GERB-SDS in a solid second at 20-21% on its established center-right base and incumbency advantages from prior coalitions. PP–DB trails at 12%, with DPS and Vazrazhdane further back, reflecting trader consensus on proportional representation seat math favoring GERB-SDS for second-most seats. Recent vote-buying crackdowns, including arrests and over €1 million seized, have stabilized sentiment without shifting leads. While commanding at 95%, a late scandal targeting GERB-SDS or PB turnout collapse could enable PP–DB or DPS to challenge, though polls indicate low risk before Sunday's vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$58,316End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Polls aggregated ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, surging to a commanding lead around 30-31% amid voter frustration with corruption and repeated elections since 2021, positioning GERB-SDS in a solid second at 20-21% on its established center-right base and incumbency advantages from prior coalitions. PP–DB trails at 12%, with DPS and Vazrazhdane further back, reflecting trader consensus on proportional representation seat math favoring GERB-SDS for second-most seats. Recent vote-buying crackdowns, including arrests and over €1 million seized, have stabilized sentiment without shifting leads. While commanding at 95%, a late scandal targeting GERB-SDS or PB turnout collapse could enable PP–DB or DPS to challenge, though polls indicate low risk before Sunday's vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$58,316End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls aggregated ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election show Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, surging to a commanding lead around 30-31% amid voter frustration with corruption and repeated elections since 2021, positioning GERB-SDS in a solid second at 20-21% on its established center-right base and incumbency advantages from prior coalitions. PP–DB trails at 12%, with DPS and Vazrazhdane further back, reflecting trader consensus on proportional representation seat math favoring GERB-SDS for second-most seats. Recent vote-buying crackdowns, including arrests and over €1 million seized, have stabilized sentiment without shifting leads. While commanding at 95%, a late scandal targeting GERB-SDS or PB turnout collapse could enable PP–DB or DPS to challenge, though polls indicate low risk before Sunday's vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
77%
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
98%
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
66%
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