Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is preparing to launch Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, alongside a new AI-powered design tool for websites and presentations, potentially as soon as this week—driving trader consensus toward an 88% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Codebase leaks referencing Claude 4.7, combined with a recent Claude Code desktop app redesign featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands, signal imminent deployment amid intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's Gemini. While no official announcement has materialized, these developments reflect Anthropic's accelerated release cadence post-Opus 4.6; any last-minute delays could pivot odds to April 17 at 9%, underscoring prediction markets' sensitivity to verified catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOn or prior to April 16 81%
April 17 9.3%
Not released by April 30 1.4%
April 21 1.0%
$100,896 Vol.
$100,896 Vol.
On or prior to April 16
81%
April 17
9%
April 18
<1%
April 19
<1%
April 20
1%
April 21
1%
April 22
<1%
April 23
1%
April 24
<1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
Not released by April 30
1%
On or prior to April 16 81%
April 17 9.3%
Not released by April 30 1.4%
April 21 1.0%
$100,896 Vol.
$100,896 Vol.
On or prior to April 16
81%
April 17
9%
April 18
<1%
April 19
<1%
April 20
1%
April 21
1%
April 22
<1%
April 23
1%
April 24
<1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
Not released by April 30
1%
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reporting from The Information indicates Anthropic is preparing to launch Claude Opus 4.7, its next flagship large language model, alongside a new AI-powered design tool for websites and presentations, potentially as soon as this week—driving trader consensus toward an 88% implied probability for release on or prior to April 16. Codebase leaks referencing Claude 4.7, combined with a recent Claude Code desktop app redesign featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands, signal imminent deployment amid intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's Gemini. While no official announcement has materialized, these developments reflect Anthropic's accelerated release cadence post-Opus 4.6; any last-minute delays could pivot odds to April 17 at 9%, underscoring prediction markets' sensitivity to verified catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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