Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, fueled by a April 14 report from The Information detailing Anthropic's preparations for a launch as soon as this week, alongside an AI-powered web design tool. Corroborating signals include recent Claude Code desktop app overhaul—adding side-by-side sessions and voice commands—as a typical precursor to model drops, plus internal codebase leaks referencing Opus 4.7 and reports of backend 500 errors hinting at rollout tweaks. While historical patterns support rapid deployment post-tooling updates, potential delays from safety reviews, integration snags on platforms like Vertex AI, or unannounced postponements could challenge this positioning before end-of-day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOn or prior to April 16 97.5%
Not released by April 30 <1%
April 17 <1%
April 18 <1%
NEW
$161,216 Vol.
NEW
$161,216 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
98%
April 17
1%
April 18
1%
April 19
<1%
April 20
<1%
April 21
<1%
April 22
<1%
April 23
<1%
April 24
<1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
Not released by April 30
1%
On or prior to April 16 97.5%
Not released by April 30 <1%
April 17 <1%
April 18 <1%
NEW
$161,216 Vol.
NEW
$161,216 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
$79,827 Vol.
98%
April 17
$15,693 Vol.
1%
April 18
$8,498 Vol.
1%
April 19
$6,753 Vol.
<1%
April 20
$7,974 Vol.
<1%
April 21
$6,594 Vol.
<1%
April 22
$4,571 Vol.
<1%
April 23
$4,070 Vol.
<1%
April 24
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
April 25
$4,092 Vol.
<1%
April 26
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
April 27
$3,998 Vol.
<1%
April 28
$3,433 Vol.
<1%
April 29
$3,236 Vol.
<1%
April 30
$3,202 Vol.
<1%
Not released by April 30
$11,008 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, fueled by a April 14 report from The Information detailing Anthropic's preparations for a launch as soon as this week, alongside an AI-powered web design tool. Corroborating signals include recent Claude Code desktop app overhaul—adding side-by-side sessions and voice commands—as a typical precursor to model drops, plus internal codebase leaks referencing Opus 4.7 and reports of backend 500 errors hinting at rollout tweaks. While historical patterns support rapid deployment post-tooling updates, potential delays from safety reviews, integration snags on platforms like Vertex AI, or unannounced postponements could challenge this positioning before end-of-day.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Volume
$161,216End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, fueled by a April 14 report from The Information detailing Anthropic's preparations for a launch as soon as this week, alongside an AI-powered web design tool. Corroborating signals include recent Claude Code desktop app overhaul—adding side-by-side sessions and voice commands—as a typical precursor to model drops, plus internal codebase leaks referencing Opus 4.7 and reports of backend 500 errors hinting at rollout tweaks. While historical patterns support rapid deployment post-tooling updates, potential delays from safety reviews, integration snags on platforms like Vertex AI, or unannounced postponements could challenge this positioning before end-of-day.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$161,216End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, fueled by a April 14 report from The Information detailing Anthropic's preparations for a launch as soon as this week, alongside an AI-powered web design tool. Corroborating signals include recent Claude Code desktop app overhaul—adding side-by-side sessions and voice commands—as a typical precursor to model drops, plus internal codebase leaks referencing Opus 4.7 and reports of backend 500 errors hinting at rollout tweaks. While historical patterns support rapid deployment post-tooling updates, potential delays from safety reviews, integration snags on platforms like Vertex AI, or unannounced postponements could challenge this positioning before end-of-day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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