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Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

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Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

65% chance
Polymarket
NEW
65% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations have intensified bipartisan pressure on Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), who faces similar scrutiny over claims of threatening to release nude videos of an ex-partner. Speaker Mike Johnson endorsed expelling fellow Florida Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick but expressed uncertainty on Mills, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez explicitly called for his resignation. Mills maintains he has no plans to step down, yet trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of his departure by May 31, reflecting ethics timelines, potential floor votes on expulsion or censure, and precedent from the rapid exits of his colleagues.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,707
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations have intensified bipartisan pressure on Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), who faces similar scrutiny over claims of threatening to release nude videos of an ex-partner. Speaker Mike Johnson endorsed expelling fellow Florida Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick but expressed uncertainty on Mills, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez explicitly called for his resignation. Mills maintains he has no plans to step down, yet trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of his departure by May 31, reflecting ethics timelines, potential floor votes on expulsion or censure, and precedent from the rapid exits of his colleagues.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,707
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 65% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 65¢, the market collectively assigns a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?" is 65% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.