Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations have intensified bipartisan pressure on Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), who faces similar scrutiny over claims of threatening to release nude videos of an ex-partner. Speaker Mike Johnson endorsed expelling fellow Florida Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick but expressed uncertainty on Mills, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez explicitly called for his resignation. Mills maintains he has no plans to step down, yet trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of his departure by May 31, reflecting ethics timelines, potential floor votes on expulsion or censure, and precedent from the rapid exits of his colleagues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAn announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations have intensified bipartisan pressure on Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), who faces similar scrutiny over claims of threatening to release nude videos of an ex-partner. Speaker Mike Johnson endorsed expelling fellow Florida Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick but expressed uncertainty on Mills, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez explicitly called for his resignation. Mills maintains he has no plans to step down, yet trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of his departure by May 31, reflecting ethics timelines, potential floor votes on expulsion or censure, and precedent from the rapid exits of his colleagues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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