Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 45.5% implied probability, driven by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six elapsed days as of April 16 morning, yielding a 45 posts-per-day average that projects a total in that bracket assuming steady cadence. Early-week frenzy peaked at 57 daily but moderated mid-period amid routine shares on Tesla FSD Supervised demos, SpaceX builds, and cultural commentary like South Africa access debates, tempering higher brackets like 320-339 (19.8%). With under 30 hours remaining until April 17 close, a late surge from breaking news or viral engagement could push toward 340+, though historical patterns suggest consistent output without major catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated300-319 46%
280-299 24.1%
320-339 19.8%
340-359 5.3%
$10,064,533 Vol.
$10,064,533 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
260-279
1%
280-299
24%
300-319
46%
320-339
20%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 46%
280-299 24.1%
320-339 19.8%
340-359 5.3%
$10,064,533 Vol.
$10,064,533 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
260-279
$613,299 Vol.
1%
280-299
$436,675 Vol.
24%
300-319
$344,192 Vol.
46%
320-339
$446,567 Vol.
20%
340-359
$374,051 Vol.
5%
360-379
$394,755 Vol.
2%
380-399
$339,732 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$413,142 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$427,954 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,698 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 45.5% implied probability, driven by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six elapsed days as of April 16 morning, yielding a 45 posts-per-day average that projects a total in that bracket assuming steady cadence. Early-week frenzy peaked at 57 daily but moderated mid-period amid routine shares on Tesla FSD Supervised demos, SpaceX builds, and cultural commentary like South Africa access debates, tempering higher brackets like 320-339 (19.8%). With under 30 hours remaining until April 17 close, a late surge from breaking news or viral engagement could push toward 340+, though historical patterns suggest consistent output without major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,064,533End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 45.5% implied probability, driven by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six elapsed days as of April 16 morning, yielding a 45 posts-per-day average that projects a total in that bracket assuming steady cadence. Early-week frenzy peaked at 57 daily but moderated mid-period amid routine shares on Tesla FSD Supervised demos, SpaceX builds, and cultural commentary like South Africa access debates, tempering higher brackets like 320-339 (19.8%). With under 30 hours remaining until April 17 close, a late surge from breaking news or viral engagement could push toward 340+, though historical patterns suggest consistent output without major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,064,533End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 45.5% implied probability, driven by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six elapsed days as of April 16 morning, yielding a 45 posts-per-day average that projects a total in that bracket assuming steady cadence. Early-week frenzy peaked at 57 daily but moderated mid-period amid routine shares on Tesla FSD Supervised demos, SpaceX builds, and cultural commentary like South Africa access debates, tempering higher brackets like 320-339 (19.8%). With under 30 hours remaining until April 17 close, a late surge from breaking news or viral engagement could push toward 340+, though historical patterns suggest consistent output without major catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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