Eurostat's flash estimate released April 30, 2026, shows Eurozone Q1 GDP growth decelerating to 0.1% quarter-on-quarter—below consensus forecasts of 0.2% and matching the prior quarter's pace—while year-on-year expansion eased to 0.8% from 1.2% in Q4 2025. This slowdown stems from heightened energy costs amid Middle East conflicts, rising April HICP inflation, and softening sentiment reflected in ECB consumer surveys showing deteriorating growth expectations and unemployment edging to 6.2% in February. Leading PMIs had signaled moderation, complicating ECB monetary policy ahead of its May meeting and the full Q1 GDP release on May 13, as traders weigh persistent inflation against faltering activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026
Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026
$16,714 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<0.5%
No
0.5-0.8%
Yes
0.9-1.2%
No
1.3-1.6%
No
1.7-2.0%
No
2.1-2.4%
No
2.5%+
No
$16,714 Vol.
<0.5%
$3,516 Vol.
No
0.5-0.8%
$646 Vol.
Yes
0.9-1.2%
$312 Vol.
No
1.3-1.6%
$465 Vol.
No
1.7-2.0%
$4,189 Vol.
No
2.1-2.4%
$743 Vol.
No
2.5%+
$6,844 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurostat's flash estimate released April 30, 2026, shows Eurozone Q1 GDP growth decelerating to 0.1% quarter-on-quarter—below consensus forecasts of 0.2% and matching the prior quarter's pace—while year-on-year expansion eased to 0.8% from 1.2% in Q4 2025. This slowdown stems from heightened energy costs amid Middle East conflicts, rising April HICP inflation, and softening sentiment reflected in ECB consumer surveys showing deteriorating growth expectations and unemployment edging to 6.2% in February. Leading PMIs had signaled moderation, complicating ECB monetary policy ahead of its May meeting and the full Q1 GDP release on May 13, as traders weigh persistent inflation against faltering activity.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$16,714End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurostat's flash estimate released April 30, 2026, shows Eurozone Q1 GDP growth decelerating to 0.1% quarter-on-quarter—below consensus forecasts of 0.2% and matching the prior quarter's pace—while year-on-year expansion eased to 0.8% from 1.2% in Q4 2025. This slowdown stems from heightened energy costs amid Middle East conflicts, rising April HICP inflation, and softening sentiment reflected in ECB consumer surveys showing deteriorating growth expectations and unemployment edging to 6.2% in February. Leading PMIs had signaled moderation, complicating ECB monetary policy ahead of its May meeting and the full Q1 GDP release on May 13, as traders weigh persistent inflation against faltering activity.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,714End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Eurostat's flash estimate released April 30, 2026, shows Eurozone Q1 GDP growth decelerating to 0.1% quarter-on-quarter—below consensus forecasts of 0.2% and matching the prior quarter's pace—while year-on-year expansion eased to 0.8% from 1.2% in Q4 2025. This slowdown stems from heightened energy costs amid Middle East conflicts, rising April HICP inflation, and softening sentiment reflected in ECB consumer surveys showing deteriorating growth expectations and unemployment edging to 6.2% in February. Leading PMIs had signaled moderation, complicating ECB monetary policy ahead of its May meeting and the full Q1 GDP release on May 13, as traders weigh persistent inflation against faltering activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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