Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 21°C (37.5% implied probability) for Ankara on April 17, closely aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a maximum 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, bolstered by persistent high-pressure ridging over central Turkey. This positioning reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with April 15 rebounding to around 20°C amid continental spring patterns where mid-month averages hover near 17°C but ridge-induced subsidence boosts daytime maxima. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show broad agreement around 20–22°C, though minor forecast shifts remain possible ahead of final MGM updates and observations from Ankara's official station resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 37%
22°C 28%
20°C 19%
19°C 7%
$15,934 Vol.
$15,934 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
37%
22°C
28%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
22°C 28%
20°C 19%
19°C 7%
$15,934 Vol.
$15,934 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
37%
22°C
28%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 21°C (37.5% implied probability) for Ankara on April 17, closely aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast of a maximum 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, bolstered by persistent high-pressure ridging over central Turkey. This positioning reflects a sharp warming trend after early April's cooler highs of 9–15°C, with April 15 rebounding to around 20°C amid continental spring patterns where mid-month averages hover near 17°C but ridge-induced subsidence boosts daytime maxima. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show broad agreement around 20–22°C, though minor forecast shifts remain possible ahead of final MGM updates and observations from Ankara's official station resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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