Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aviation forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Seoul area on April 17 under cloudy conditions, following recent warmer highs of 19–23°C on April 15–16 amid a high-pressure ridge. This aligns with trader consensus implying 54% odds for 18°C or higher, balanced against 19.5% for exactly 17°C, reflecting spring forecast uncertainty where models like ECMWF and GFS often diverge 48 hours out due to frontal passages and variable cloud cover. Mid-April climatology averages 16–18°C highs, with recent erratic patterns—fluctuating hot-cold swings—driving bets on upside potential from clearer breaks. Watch KMA short-term updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 55%
17°C 20%
16°C 18%
15°C 6%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
55%
18°C or higher 55%
17°C 20%
16°C 18%
15°C 6%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
20%
18°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aviation forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Seoul area on April 17 under cloudy conditions, following recent warmer highs of 19–23°C on April 15–16 amid a high-pressure ridge. This aligns with trader consensus implying 54% odds for 18°C or higher, balanced against 19.5% for exactly 17°C, reflecting spring forecast uncertainty where models like ECMWF and GFS often diverge 48 hours out due to frontal passages and variable cloud cover. Mid-April climatology averages 16–18°C highs, with recent erratic patterns—fluctuating hot-cold swings—driving bets on upside potential from clearer breaks. Watch KMA short-term updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions