Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Ankara on August 17, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs typically decline from early-month peaks. The near-even split between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities reflects modest uncertainty in peak timing, local station microclimates, and potential afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts that can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values while downweighting higher outcomes amid stable high-pressure patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 17?
27°C 35%
28°C 35%
26°C 16%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 35%
28°C 35%
26°C 16%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$400 Vol.
1%
25°C
$648 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,026 Vol.
16%
27°C
$861 Vol.
35%
28°C
$1,666 Vol.
35%
29°C
$948 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,163 Vol.
2%
31°C
$600 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$967 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Ankara on August 17, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs typically decline from early-month peaks. The near-even split between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities reflects modest uncertainty in peak timing, local station microclimates, and potential afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts that can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values while downweighting higher outcomes amid stable high-pressure patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$9,646End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Ankara on August 17, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs typically decline from early-month peaks. The near-even split between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities reflects modest uncertainty in peak timing, local station microclimates, and potential afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts that can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values while downweighting higher outcomes amid stable high-pressure patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,646End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Ankara on August 17, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs typically decline from early-month peaks. The near-even split between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities reflects modest uncertainty in peak timing, local station microclimates, and potential afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts that can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show limited divergence, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values while downweighting higher outcomes amid stable high-pressure patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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