Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on June 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 24?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 Vol.
$52,435 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 Vol.
$52,435 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
$362 Vol.
No
24°C
$661 Vol.
No
25°C
$924 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,533 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,126 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,603 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,459 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$7,242 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,616 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,143 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$766 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$52,435End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,435End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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