Recent forecast model consensus points to a mild late-September day in Ankara, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under high pressure and partly cloudy skies. Light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit daytime heating compared to earlier in the month, while clear morning conditions allow for steady warming toward afternoon. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the current cooling trend and lack of strong southerly flow keep extremes below 26°C improbable. Minor differences across model runs on exact cloud timing and peak insolation explain the closely matched market probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes, with updates from official meteorological agencies likely to refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 26?
23°C 30%
22°C 28%
24°C 23%
21°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
30%
24°C
23%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 30%
22°C 28%
24°C 23%
21°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a mild late-September day in Ankara, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under high pressure and partly cloudy skies. Light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit daytime heating compared to earlier in the month, while clear morning conditions allow for steady warming toward afternoon. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the current cooling trend and lack of strong southerly flow keep extremes below 26°C improbable. Minor differences across model runs on exact cloud timing and peak insolation explain the closely matched market probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes, with updates from official meteorological agencies likely to refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a mild late-September day in Ankara, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under high pressure and partly cloudy skies. Light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit daytime heating compared to earlier in the month, while clear morning conditions allow for steady warming toward afternoon. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the current cooling trend and lack of strong southerly flow keep extremes below 26°C improbable. Minor differences across model runs on exact cloud timing and peak insolation explain the closely matched market probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes, with updates from official meteorological agencies likely to refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast model consensus points to a mild late-September day in Ankara, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under high pressure and partly cloudy skies. Light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels are expected to limit daytime heating compared to earlier in the month, while clear morning conditions allow for steady warming toward afternoon. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the current cooling trend and lack of strong southerly flow keep extremes below 26°C improbable. Minor differences across model runs on exact cloud timing and peak insolation explain the closely matched market probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes, with updates from official meteorological agencies likely to refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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