Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a daytime high of 32°C in Chongqing on May 24, supported by a humid subtropical airmass with dew points in the low 20s °C that curbs surface heating under mostly cloudy conditions. This consensus aligns with historical May averages near 30°C and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal warming. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 32°C reflects the narrow spread in model guidance, with minimal upside risk from convective activity. A sudden break in cloud cover or drier air advection could allow brief spikes toward 33°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 24?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,226 Vol.
$41,226 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,226 Vol.
$41,226 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to a daytime high of 32°C in Chongqing on May 24, supported by a humid subtropical airmass with dew points in the low 20s °C that curbs surface heating under mostly cloudy conditions. This consensus aligns with historical May averages near 30°C and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal warming. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 32°C reflects the narrow spread in model guidance, with minimal upside risk from convective activity. A sudden break in cloud cover or drier air advection could allow brief spikes toward 33°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions