Recent forecasts for Dallas on July 2, 2026, from sources like AccuWeather and long-range models indicate a daily high near 93–97°F under typical early-July conditions of southerly flow, high humidity, and ample sunshine. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94–97°F bins, reflecting climatological norms where Dallas highs average 95–98°F in early summer alongside stable high-pressure patterns. Model consensus shows limited deviation potential from these values, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge strengthening or downslope warming. Traders appear to discount extreme outliers above 100°F given the absence of anomalous heat signals in current guidance, while probabilities for sub-93°F outcomes remain low due to persistent seasonal warmth. Updated NWS and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 2?
94-95°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$74,755 Vol.
$74,755 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$74,755 Vol.
$74,755 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
91°F or below
$8,523 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$13,757 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$11,166 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$17,146 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$5,562 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,380 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$2,869 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$2,897 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$2,959 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$2,325 Vol.
No
110°F or higher
$5,171 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Dallas on July 2, 2026, from sources like AccuWeather and long-range models indicate a daily high near 93–97°F under typical early-July conditions of southerly flow, high humidity, and ample sunshine. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94–97°F bins, reflecting climatological norms where Dallas highs average 95–98°F in early summer alongside stable high-pressure patterns. Model consensus shows limited deviation potential from these values, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge strengthening or downslope warming. Traders appear to discount extreme outliers above 100°F given the absence of anomalous heat signals in current guidance, while probabilities for sub-93°F outcomes remain low due to persistent seasonal warmth. Updated NWS and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$74,755End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Dallas on July 2, 2026, from sources like AccuWeather and long-range models indicate a daily high near 93–97°F under typical early-July conditions of southerly flow, high humidity, and ample sunshine. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94–97°F bins, reflecting climatological norms where Dallas highs average 95–98°F in early summer alongside stable high-pressure patterns. Model consensus shows limited deviation potential from these values, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge strengthening or downslope warming. Traders appear to discount extreme outliers above 100°F given the absence of anomalous heat signals in current guidance, while probabilities for sub-93°F outcomes remain low due to persistent seasonal warmth. Updated NWS and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$74,755End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts for Dallas on July 2, 2026, from sources like AccuWeather and long-range models indicate a daily high near 93–97°F under typical early-July conditions of southerly flow, high humidity, and ample sunshine. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94–97°F bins, reflecting climatological norms where Dallas highs average 95–98°F in early summer alongside stable high-pressure patterns. Model consensus shows limited deviation potential from these values, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge strengthening or downslope warming. Traders appear to discount extreme outliers above 100°F given the absence of anomalous heat signals in current guidance, while probabilities for sub-93°F outcomes remain low due to persistent seasonal warmth. Updated NWS and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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