Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 70°F on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which predicted moderating highs amid a post-March heat dome transition featuring northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and first measurable precipitation in 17 days capping solar heating. Historical April 2 norms hover around 60°F, but climatological analogs supported this mild rebound from March's record 87°F peak. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled NOAA archives, though observational ground truth renders such shifts improbable. Traders await final CLI report confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$65,668 Vol.
$65,668 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$65,668 Vol.
$65,668 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 70°F on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which predicted moderating highs amid a post-March heat dome transition featuring northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and first measurable precipitation in 17 days capping solar heating. Historical April 2 norms hover around 60°F, but climatological analogs supported this mild rebound from March's record 87°F peak. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled NOAA archives, though observational ground truth renders such shifts improbable. Traders await final CLI report confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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