Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 9?
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,580 Vol.
$60,580 Vol.
May 9, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,580 Vol.
$60,580 Vol.
May 9, 2026
15°C or below
$5,452 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,544 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,256 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,991 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,199 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,372 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,906 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,793 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,080 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,776 Vol.
Yes
25°C or higher
$9,212 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$60,580End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,580End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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