Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 26?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 26?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,807 Vol.
$36,807 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,807 Vol.
$36,807 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
81°F or below
$5,402 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,004 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$974 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,573 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,406 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,760 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$9,421 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$3,790 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,182 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$2,594 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$1,700 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$36,807End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,807End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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