BMKG's latest forecast for April 12 shows light to moderate rain across DKI Jakarta areas, with maximum temperatures of 31–32°C amid 67–99% humidity and patchy cloud cover, capping peak heating in convective conditions typical of the tail end of the rainy season. Yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 33–35°C (29–30.5% implied probabilities each), reflecting divergent model runs—such as AccuWeather's hourly peaks near 34°C under partial clearing—and urban heat island amplification in densely built zones like Halim Perdanakusuma station. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, but afternoon sea breeze timing and shower development create genuine uncertainty; real-time observations will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
34°C 49%
35°C 31.9%
33°C 20%
36°C 4.1%
$20,293 Vol.
$20,293 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
24%
34°C
43%
35°C
23%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
35°C 31.9%
33°C 20%
36°C 4.1%
$20,293 Vol.
$20,293 Vol.
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
24%
34°C
43%
35°C
23%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
BMKG's latest forecast for April 12 shows light to moderate rain across DKI Jakarta areas, with maximum temperatures of 31–32°C amid 67–99% humidity and patchy cloud cover, capping peak heating in convective conditions typical of the tail end of the rainy season. Yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 33–35°C (29–30.5% implied probabilities each), reflecting divergent model runs—such as AccuWeather's hourly peaks near 34°C under partial clearing—and urban heat island amplification in densely built zones like Halim Perdanakusuma station. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, but afternoon sea breeze timing and shower development create genuine uncertainty; real-time observations will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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