Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 22?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 22?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,504 Vol.
$56,504 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$56,504 Vol.
$56,504 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
27°C or below
$500 Vol.
No
28°C
$502 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,937 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,895 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,801 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,210 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,513 Vol.
No
34°C
$9,132 Vol.
No
35°C
$12,397 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$5,972 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$5,644 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$56,504End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,504End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 35°C in Jakarta on April 22, driven by confirmed peak observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—reaching exactly 35°C in the mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and low wind speeds favoring solar heating. This aligns with Jakarta's urban heat island effect amplifying temperatures beyond BMKG's conservative 30°C forecast, consistent with recent days' 35–35.6°C highs at the same station during April's transitional climatology from wet to dry season. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from residual heat or official data revision, but diurnal cooling patterns and finalized reports expected soon make higher outcomes negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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