Trader consensus on closely matched probabilities for 36–39°C highest temperatures in Jeddah on April 19 reflects numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converging on peaks in this range amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar insolation. Jeddah's coastal position along the warm Red Sea, with sea surface temperatures around 28°C, drives moderating onshore sea breezes that typically cap afternoon highs, but variations in breeze strength and timing—tied to low-level wind shear and pressure gradients—differentiate exact integer outcomes. April climatology averages 35°C highs, with current above-normal setup from persistent dry conditions; updated model runs every 6–12 hours and National Center for Meteorology advisories will sharpen trader sentiment before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 19?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 19?
36°C 28%
38°C 27%
37°C 23%
39°C 15%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
28%
37°C
23%
38°C
20%
39°C
15%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 28%
38°C 27%
37°C 23%
39°C 15%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
28%
37°C
23%
38°C
20%
39°C
15%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on closely matched probabilities for 36–39°C highest temperatures in Jeddah on April 19 reflects numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converging on peaks in this range amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar insolation. Jeddah's coastal position along the warm Red Sea, with sea surface temperatures around 28°C, drives moderating onshore sea breezes that typically cap afternoon highs, but variations in breeze strength and timing—tied to low-level wind shear and pressure gradients—differentiate exact integer outcomes. April climatology averages 35°C highs, with current above-normal setup from persistent dry conditions; updated model runs every 6–12 hours and National Center for Meteorology advisories will sharpen trader sentiment before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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