**Trader sentiment for Milan's September 14 highest temperature centers on a narrow range around 28–29 °C, reflecting close agreement among short-range forecast models amid stable late-summer conditions.** Current guidance from sources such as GFS-based runs and European models shows mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk, which supports efficient daytime solar heating under high pressure. Daytime maxima are projected near 26–29 °C depending on the exact timing of any thin cloud cover and subtle warm-air advection from the south. Historical September averages for Milan hover around 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth that models have held steady over the past 24–48 hours. The market's slight tilt toward 29 °C (43 % implied) versus 28 °C (34 %) captures residual uncertainty in peak afternoon readings, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before the market resolves will be the key drivers of any further shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 14?
29°C 44%
28°C 39%
27°C 16%
30°C 13%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
39%
29°C
44%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
10%
29°C 44%
28°C 39%
27°C 16%
30°C 13%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
39%
29°C
44%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Milan's September 14 highest temperature centers on a narrow range around 28–29 °C, reflecting close agreement among short-range forecast models amid stable late-summer conditions.** Current guidance from sources such as GFS-based runs and European models shows mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk, which supports efficient daytime solar heating under high pressure. Daytime maxima are projected near 26–29 °C depending on the exact timing of any thin cloud cover and subtle warm-air advection from the south. Historical September averages for Milan hover around 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth that models have held steady over the past 24–48 hours. The market's slight tilt toward 29 °C (43 % implied) versus 28 °C (34 %) captures residual uncertainty in peak afternoon readings, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before the market resolves will be the key drivers of any further shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions