Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 Vol.
$32,648 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 Vol.
$32,648 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
$5,625 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,145 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,209 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,799 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,406 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,038 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,101 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,122 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,745 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,022 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$7,438 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$32,648End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,648End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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