Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from major aggregators like AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting afternoon peaks of 90–93°F (32–34°C) under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and persistent high pressure. This aligns with April climatology, where daily highs average 89°F amid the dry season's tail, reinforced by yesterday's 31°C reading and minimal shower activity per current satellite imagery. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows no significant cooling factors like convective outbreaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms capping heating—low risk per radar—or station-specific measurement issues, with final observations available by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 27?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 27?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,948 Vol.
$22,948 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,948 Vol.
$22,948 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
22°C or below
$613 Vol.
No
23°C
$768 Vol.
No
24°C
$798 Vol.
No
25°C
$740 Vol.
No
26°C
$927 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,698 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,563 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,838 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,125 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,530 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$4,345 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from major aggregators like AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting afternoon peaks of 90–93°F (32–34°C) under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and persistent high pressure. This aligns with April climatology, where daily highs average 89°F amid the dry season's tail, reinforced by yesterday's 31°C reading and minimal shower activity per current satellite imagery. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows no significant cooling factors like convective outbreaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms capping heating—low risk per radar—or station-specific measurement issues, with final observations available by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$22,948End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from major aggregators like AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting afternoon peaks of 90–93°F (32–34°C) under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and persistent high pressure. This aligns with April climatology, where daily highs average 89°F amid the dry season's tail, reinforced by yesterday's 31°C reading and minimal shower activity per current satellite imagery. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows no significant cooling factors like convective outbreaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms capping heating—low risk per radar—or station-specific measurement issues, with final observations available by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,948End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from major aggregators like AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting afternoon peaks of 90–93°F (32–34°C) under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and persistent high pressure. This aligns with April climatology, where daily highs average 89°F amid the dry season's tail, reinforced by yesterday's 31°C reading and minimal shower activity per current satellite imagery. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows no significant cooling factors like convective outbreaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms capping heating—low risk per radar—or station-specific measurement issues, with final observations available by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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