Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 21°C (34.5% implied probability) for Paris on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS, which cluster tightly around 20-22°C amid mild high-pressure conditions persisting from a warmer-than-average spring. GFS runs suggest slightly higher potential under clearer skies, while ECMWF leans cooler due to variable cloud cover—a key uncertainty factor that could cap temperatures at 19-20°C or push toward 23°C if diurnal heating strengthens. Historical April highs average 16-17°C, making current projections notably above baseline. Watch afternoon model updates for refinements before official measurements from Paris stations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
21°C 35%
22°C 25%
20°C 19%
19°C 11%
NEW
$34,976 Vol.
NEW
$34,976 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
19%
21°C
35%
22°C
25%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 35%
22°C 25%
20°C 19%
19°C 11%
NEW
$34,976 Vol.
NEW
$34,976 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
16°C or below
$2,978 Vol.
1%
17°C
$4,637 Vol.
1%
18°C
$3,103 Vol.
2%
19°C
$4,439 Vol.
11%
20°C
$3,056 Vol.
19%
21°C
$2,205 Vol.
35%
22°C
$1,823 Vol.
25%
23°C
$2,942 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,636 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,799 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$4,372 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 21°C (34.5% implied probability) for Paris on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS, which cluster tightly around 20-22°C amid mild high-pressure conditions persisting from a warmer-than-average spring. GFS runs suggest slightly higher potential under clearer skies, while ECMWF leans cooler due to variable cloud cover—a key uncertainty factor that could cap temperatures at 19-20°C or push toward 23°C if diurnal heating strengthens. Historical April highs average 16-17°C, making current projections notably above baseline. Watch afternoon model updates for refinements before official measurements from Paris stations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$34,976End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 21°C (34.5% implied probability) for Paris on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS, which cluster tightly around 20-22°C amid mild high-pressure conditions persisting from a warmer-than-average spring. GFS runs suggest slightly higher potential under clearer skies, while ECMWF leans cooler due to variable cloud cover—a key uncertainty factor that could cap temperatures at 19-20°C or push toward 23°C if diurnal heating strengthens. Historical April highs average 16-17°C, making current projections notably above baseline. Watch afternoon model updates for refinements before official measurements from Paris stations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,976End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 21°C (34.5% implied probability) for Paris on April 17, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS, which cluster tightly around 20-22°C amid mild high-pressure conditions persisting from a warmer-than-average spring. GFS runs suggest slightly higher potential under clearer skies, while ECMWF leans cooler due to variable cloud cover—a key uncertainty factor that could cap temperatures at 19-20°C or push toward 23°C if diurnal heating strengthens. Historical April highs average 16-17°C, making current projections notably above baseline. Watch afternoon model updates for refinements before official measurements from Paris stations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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