**Official observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport weather station—the market's designated source—confirm Paris's highest temperature on April 17 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with Météo-France's preliminary data amid mild spring conditions featuring high-pressure influence, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF ensemble forecasts and national model runs had converged on highs of 20-21°C, matching the observed peak around mid-afternoon. With the event passed and data published, markets reflect verified measurements; realistic challenges are minimal, limited to infrequent quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in 99% of cases. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 17?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$354,976 Vol.
$354,976 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$354,976 Vol.
$354,976 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport weather station—the market's designated source—confirm Paris's highest temperature on April 17 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with Météo-France's preliminary data amid mild spring conditions featuring high-pressure influence, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF ensemble forecasts and national model runs had converged on highs of 20-21°C, matching the observed peak around mid-afternoon. With the event passed and data published, markets reflect verified measurements; realistic challenges are minimal, limited to infrequent quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in 99% of cases. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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