Latest short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at around 21°C, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability for that outcome and strong support for 20–22°C (combined ~76.5%). This positioning stems from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe, promoting clearer skies and above-normal spring warmth after April 16's cloudy conditions capped highs near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 20°C, while increased sunshine might elevate to 22°C. Traders await final observational data from Charles de Gaulle Airport station for resolution, with updates expected in evening bulletins. Historical April averages hover at 15–16°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 9%
$33,401 Vol.
$33,401 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 22%
20°C 20%
19°C 9%
$33,401 Vol.
$33,401 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
22%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models place Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at around 21°C, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability for that outcome and strong support for 20–22°C (combined ~76.5%). This positioning stems from a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over Western Europe, promoting clearer skies and above-normal spring warmth after April 16's cloudy conditions capped highs near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, though lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 20°C, while increased sunshine might elevate to 22°C. Traders await final observational data from Charles de Gaulle Airport station for resolution, with updates expected in evening bulletins. Historical April averages hover at 15–16°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions