Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 21?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$83,954 Vol.
$83,954 Vol.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$83,954 Vol.
$83,954 Vol.
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
$2,603 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,712 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,494 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,231 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,562 Vol.
No
23°C
$18,592 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,340 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$14,239 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,954 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,682 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,546 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$83,954End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$83,954End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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