**Qingdao's summer coastal climate supports a high likelihood of reaching or exceeding 30°C on June 17, driven by seasonal warming patterns and current observational data.** In mid-June, the region typically experiences rising maximum temperatures as solar insolation increases and prevailing southerly flows advect warmer air masses from inland areas, with historical averages climbing toward 24–28°C and occasional peaks near 30°C. Real-time monitoring from sources such as local meteorological stations shows afternoon readings already approaching or hitting 30°C under partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover allowing sufficient surface heating despite moderating marine influences from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble forecast models align on this trajectory, projecting peak values at or above the threshold before any evening cooling sets in. The only realistic challenges would involve an abrupt shift, such as a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or unforecasted frontal passage introducing cooler maritime air, though current conditions and short-range guidance make such rapid changes improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 17?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 17?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$20,548 Vol.
$20,548 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$20,548 Vol.
$20,548 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
20°C or below
$511 Vol.
No
21°C
$327 Vol.
No
22°C
$456 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,583 Vol.
No
24°C
$846 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,518 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,745 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,759 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,141 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,492 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$4,171 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Qingdao's summer coastal climate supports a high likelihood of reaching or exceeding 30°C on June 17, driven by seasonal warming patterns and current observational data.** In mid-June, the region typically experiences rising maximum temperatures as solar insolation increases and prevailing southerly flows advect warmer air masses from inland areas, with historical averages climbing toward 24–28°C and occasional peaks near 30°C. Real-time monitoring from sources such as local meteorological stations shows afternoon readings already approaching or hitting 30°C under partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover allowing sufficient surface heating despite moderating marine influences from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble forecast models align on this trajectory, projecting peak values at or above the threshold before any evening cooling sets in. The only realistic challenges would involve an abrupt shift, such as a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or unforecasted frontal passage introducing cooler maritime air, though current conditions and short-range guidance make such rapid changes improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$20,548End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Qingdao's summer coastal climate supports a high likelihood of reaching or exceeding 30°C on June 17, driven by seasonal warming patterns and current observational data.** In mid-June, the region typically experiences rising maximum temperatures as solar insolation increases and prevailing southerly flows advect warmer air masses from inland areas, with historical averages climbing toward 24–28°C and occasional peaks near 30°C. Real-time monitoring from sources such as local meteorological stations shows afternoon readings already approaching or hitting 30°C under partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover allowing sufficient surface heating despite moderating marine influences from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble forecast models align on this trajectory, projecting peak values at or above the threshold before any evening cooling sets in. The only realistic challenges would involve an abrupt shift, such as a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or unforecasted frontal passage introducing cooler maritime air, though current conditions and short-range guidance make such rapid changes improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,548End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Qingdao's summer coastal climate supports a high likelihood of reaching or exceeding 30°C on June 17, driven by seasonal warming patterns and current observational data.** In mid-June, the region typically experiences rising maximum temperatures as solar insolation increases and prevailing southerly flows advect warmer air masses from inland areas, with historical averages climbing toward 24–28°C and occasional peaks near 30°C. Real-time monitoring from sources such as local meteorological stations shows afternoon readings already approaching or hitting 30°C under partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover allowing sufficient surface heating despite moderating marine influences from the Yellow Sea. Ensemble forecast models align on this trajectory, projecting peak values at or above the threshold before any evening cooling sets in. The only realistic challenges would involve an abrupt shift, such as a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or unforecasted frontal passage introducing cooler maritime air, though current conditions and short-range guidance make such rapid changes improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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