Latest forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in Qingdao on May 23, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Yellow Sea that limits warming while marine air keeps conditions stable near seasonal norms for late spring. This alignment produces the market’s near-certain implied probability for 24°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and model consensus showing little potential for significant deviation. A stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could allow brief warming above this level before resolution, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely by the end of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 23?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 23?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$45,013 Vol.
$45,013 Vol.
May 23, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$45,013 Vol.
$45,013 Vol.
May 23, 2026
20°C or below
$11,889 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,842 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,014 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,662 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,518 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$4,105 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,298 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,730 Vol.
No
28°C
$817 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,193 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$945 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in Qingdao on May 23, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Yellow Sea that limits warming while marine air keeps conditions stable near seasonal norms for late spring. This alignment produces the market’s near-certain implied probability for 24°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and model consensus showing little potential for significant deviation. A stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could allow brief warming above this level before resolution, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely by the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Volume
$45,013End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in Qingdao on May 23, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Yellow Sea that limits warming while marine air keeps conditions stable near seasonal norms for late spring. This alignment produces the market’s near-certain implied probability for 24°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and model consensus showing little potential for significant deviation. A stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could allow brief warming above this level before resolution, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely by the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,013End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in Qingdao on May 23, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Yellow Sea that limits warming while marine air keeps conditions stable near seasonal norms for late spring. This alignment produces the market’s near-certain implied probability for 24°C, as traders incorporate real-time observational data and model consensus showing little potential for significant deviation. A stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could allow brief warming above this level before resolution, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely by the end of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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