The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's high temperature on April 17 at 23–30°C under partly clear skies with low precipitation odds, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–30°C outcomes at 22–26.5% implied probabilities. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring warming trends, where southerly winds and high humidity (often 70–90%) boost daytime peaks, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap highs at 28°C versus allowing 29–30°C. Recent days have seen actual highs near 30°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 25–27°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects differentiates the leaders. Hourly updates from CWA expected through the day will refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
NEW
$27,716 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
24°C or below
$2,249 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,097 Vol.
2%
26°C
$4,576 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2,662 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,449 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,492 Vol.
26%
30°C
$2,411 Vol.
22%
31°C
$2,503 Vol.
10%
32°C
$3,171 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,153 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$1,961 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's high temperature on April 17 at 23–30°C under partly clear skies with low precipitation odds, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–30°C outcomes at 22–26.5% implied probabilities. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring warming trends, where southerly winds and high humidity (often 70–90%) boost daytime peaks, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap highs at 28°C versus allowing 29–30°C. Recent days have seen actual highs near 30°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 25–27°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects differentiates the leaders. Hourly updates from CWA expected through the day will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$27,716End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's high temperature on April 17 at 23–30°C under partly clear skies with low precipitation odds, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–30°C outcomes at 22–26.5% implied probabilities. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring warming trends, where southerly winds and high humidity (often 70–90%) boost daytime peaks, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap highs at 28°C versus allowing 29–30°C. Recent days have seen actual highs near 30°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 25–27°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects differentiates the leaders. Hourly updates from CWA expected through the day will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,716End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's high temperature on April 17 at 23–30°C under partly clear skies with low precipitation odds, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–30°C outcomes at 22–26.5% implied probabilities. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring warming trends, where southerly winds and high humidity (often 70–90%) boost daytime peaks, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover could cap highs at 28°C versus allowing 29–30°C. Recent days have seen actual highs near 30°C, exceeding April's climatological average of 25–27°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects differentiates the leaders. Hourly updates from CWA expected through the day will refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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