Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 28?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 Vol.
$109,813 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 Vol.
$109,813 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
24°C or below
$3,088 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,143 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,539 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,684 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,804 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,441 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,803 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,541 Vol.
No
32°C
$31,425 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$8,856 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$18,488 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$109,813End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$109,813End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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