Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime high near 22–23°C on September 2 under building high pressure, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. The pattern reflects a transitional late-summer regime typical for early September, slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 19–20°C, with no strong warm or cold advection expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will provide the final confirmation as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
22°C 46%
23°C 39%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
11%
22°C
28%
23°C
39%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 46%
23°C 39%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$5 Vol.
11%
22°C
$65 Vol.
28%
23°C
$194 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$3 Vol.
4%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime high near 22–23°C on September 2 under building high pressure, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. The pattern reflects a transitional late-summer regime typical for early September, slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 19–20°C, with no strong warm or cold advection expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will provide the final confirmation as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$288End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime high near 22–23°C on September 2 under building high pressure, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. The pattern reflects a transitional late-summer regime typical for early September, slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 19–20°C, with no strong warm or cold advection expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will provide the final confirmation as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$288End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Warsaw will reach a daytime high near 22–23°C on September 2 under building high pressure, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C. The pattern reflects a transitional late-summer regime typical for early September, slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 19–20°C, with no strong warm or cold advection expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology will provide the final confirmation as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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