Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 21 indicate a high near 26–28°C amid thundery showers and light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and regional guidance highlights precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanism, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative effects and cloud cover. June climatology shows a typical warming trend with average highs climbing toward 30°C, yet early-summer convective activity often introduces 2–4°C day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual warm advection and the likelihood of afternoon storms, with lower-probability tails reflecting scenarios of clearer skies or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 21?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$123,672 Vol.
$123,672 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$123,672 Vol.
$123,672 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
22°C or below
$3,043 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,208 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,480 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,590 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,042 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,988 Vol.
No
28°C
$23,956 Vol.
No
29°C
$28,849 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$8,535 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,967 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$13,014 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 21 indicate a high near 26–28°C amid thundery showers and light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and regional guidance highlights precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanism, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative effects and cloud cover. June climatology shows a typical warming trend with average highs climbing toward 30°C, yet early-summer convective activity often introduces 2–4°C day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual warm advection and the likelihood of afternoon storms, with lower-probability tails reflecting scenarios of clearer skies or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$123,672End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 21 indicate a high near 26–28°C amid thundery showers and light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and regional guidance highlights precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanism, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative effects and cloud cover. June climatology shows a typical warming trend with average highs climbing toward 30°C, yet early-summer convective activity often introduces 2–4°C day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual warm advection and the likelihood of afternoon storms, with lower-probability tails reflecting scenarios of clearer skies or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123,672End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts for Wuhan on June 21 indicate a high near 26–28°C amid thundery showers and light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and regional guidance highlights precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanism, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees through evaporative effects and cloud cover. June climatology shows a typical warming trend with average highs climbing toward 30°C, yet early-summer convective activity often introduces 2–4°C day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual warm advection and the likelihood of afternoon storms, with lower-probability tails reflecting scenarios of clearer skies or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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