Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show the highest temperature in Wuhan on June 26 most likely falling between 29–32 °C, reflecting modest day-to-day variability driven by lingering monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs indicate a possible mix of partly cloudy skies and isolated showers that could cap afternoon maxima near the lower end of that range, while clearer intervals or slight subsidence might allow readings to reach the low 30s. Historical late-June climatology for the region centers around 30–31 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration for any shifts in the predicted thermal profile or precipitation timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,831 Vol.
$54,831 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,831 Vol.
$54,831 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show the highest temperature in Wuhan on June 26 most likely falling between 29–32 °C, reflecting modest day-to-day variability driven by lingering monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs indicate a possible mix of partly cloudy skies and isolated showers that could cap afternoon maxima near the lower end of that range, while clearer intervals or slight subsidence might allow readings to reach the low 30s. Historical late-June climatology for the region centers around 30–31 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration for any shifts in the predicted thermal profile or precipitation timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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