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icon for How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Sep 16

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

Sep 16

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

3 32%

4+ 21%

0 16%

2 16%

Polymarket
NEW

3 32%

4+ 21%

0 16%

2 16%

Polymarket
NEW

0

$128 Vol.

16%

1

$252 Vol.

15%

2

$213 Vol.

16%

3

$2,025 Vol.

34%

4+

$202 Vol.

21%

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The July FOMC's 9-3 hold decision at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range, featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, has anchored expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, bolstered by energy price shocks, combined with recent minutes noting that several participants favored immediate tightening, sustains a contested policy path. The wide dispersion across outcomes from zero to four-plus dissents reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks ahead of key labor and PCE releases, with market-implied odds treating the September decision as finely balanced rather than a foregone conclusion.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,820
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The July FOMC's 9-3 hold decision at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range, featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, has anchored expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, bolstered by energy price shocks, combined with recent minutes noting that several participants favored immediate tightening, sustains a contested policy path. The wide dispersion across outcomes from zero to four-plus dissents reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks ahead of key labor and PCE releases, with market-implied odds treating the September decision as finely balanced rather than a foregone conclusion.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,820
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3" at 34%, followed by "4+" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

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The current frontrunner for "How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?" is "3" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4+" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

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