The Illinois 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered on Chicago's West Side and downtown areas, where the party has consistently secured 80%+ margins in recent cycles. Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee La Shawn Ford, a longtime state representative who consolidated support from party leaders and local organizations. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns, turnout models, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Chad Koppie in a district with strong Democratic registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue, or dramatic national shift in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable urban districts show such reversals are rare.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-07 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-07 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$20,467 Vol.
$20,467 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
1%
$20,467 Vol.
$20,467 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$6,949 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$13,517 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered on Chicago's West Side and downtown areas, where the party has consistently secured 80%+ margins in recent cycles. Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee La Shawn Ford, a longtime state representative who consolidated support from party leaders and local organizations. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns, turnout models, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Chad Koppie in a district with strong Democratic registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue, or dramatic national shift in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable urban districts show such reversals are rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$20,467Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered on Chicago's West Side and downtown areas, where the party has consistently secured 80%+ margins in recent cycles. Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee La Shawn Ford, a longtime state representative who consolidated support from party leaders and local organizations. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns, turnout models, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Chad Koppie in a district with strong Democratic registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue, or dramatic national shift in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable urban districts show such reversals are rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,467Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 7th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered on Chicago's West Side and downtown areas, where the party has consistently secured 80%+ margins in recent cycles. Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee La Shawn Ford, a longtime state representative who consolidated support from party leaders and local organizations. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting patterns, turnout models, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Chad Koppie in a district with strong Democratic registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent polling or campaign developments altering the outlook ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, health issue, or dramatic national shift in voter sentiment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable urban districts show such reversals are rare.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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