Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds from an unsettled Atlantic-influenced pattern are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the August 29 low tightly clustered near 16–17°C according to model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF. Recent thunderstorms on the 28th have maintained high humidity and reduced clear-sky conditions that would otherwise allow greater temperature drops, while mild maritime air advection supports the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind gusts around 15–25 km/h account for the close contest between 15°C and 17°C resolutions, with updated overnight observations likely to refine the final minimum before sunrise on the 29th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
16%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
30%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
17%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
16%
13°C
$64 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$5 Vol.
15%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds from an unsettled Atlantic-influenced pattern are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the August 29 low tightly clustered near 16–17°C according to model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF. Recent thunderstorms on the 28th have maintained high humidity and reduced clear-sky conditions that would otherwise allow greater temperature drops, while mild maritime air advection supports the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind gusts around 15–25 km/h account for the close contest between 15°C and 17°C resolutions, with updated overnight observations likely to refine the final minimum before sunrise on the 29th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$89End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds from an unsettled Atlantic-influenced pattern are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the August 29 low tightly clustered near 16–17°C according to model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF. Recent thunderstorms on the 28th have maintained high humidity and reduced clear-sky conditions that would otherwise allow greater temperature drops, while mild maritime air advection supports the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind gusts around 15–25 km/h account for the close contest between 15°C and 17°C resolutions, with updated overnight observations likely to refine the final minimum before sunrise on the 29th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds from an unsettled Atlantic-influenced pattern are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the August 29 low tightly clustered near 16–17°C according to model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF. Recent thunderstorms on the 28th have maintained high humidity and reduced clear-sky conditions that would otherwise allow greater temperature drops, while mild maritime air advection supports the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind gusts around 15–25 km/h account for the close contest between 15°C and 17°C resolutions, with updated overnight observations likely to refine the final minimum before sunrise on the 29th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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