Current forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24 most likely between 6–8°C. This reflects the lingering influence of a polar air mass and high-pressure system promoting radiative cooling overnight, offset by shifting northeast winds that limit further descent and partly cloudy skies that reduce heat loss. Recent days saw sharper drops to near or below 4°C with frost risk, but moderating conditions and model consensus on limited intensification differentiate the tightly matched market outcomes around 4°C versus 8°C or higher. New model runs and official updates will refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
-2°C or below 44%
4°C 44%
8°C or higher 44%
6°C 41%
-2°C or below
44%
-1°C
24%
0°C
23%
1°C
28%
2°C
27%
3°C
28%
4°C
44%
5°C
23%
6°C
41%
7°C
12%
8°C or higher
44%
-2°C or below 44%
4°C 44%
8°C or higher 44%
6°C 41%
-2°C or below
44%
-1°C
24%
0°C
23%
1°C
28%
2°C
27%
3°C
28%
4°C
44%
5°C
23%
6°C
41%
7°C
12%
8°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24 most likely between 6–8°C. This reflects the lingering influence of a polar air mass and high-pressure system promoting radiative cooling overnight, offset by shifting northeast winds that limit further descent and partly cloudy skies that reduce heat loss. Recent days saw sharper drops to near or below 4°C with frost risk, but moderating conditions and model consensus on limited intensification differentiate the tightly matched market outcomes around 4°C versus 8°C or higher. New model runs and official updates will refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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