Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan around 24–26°C on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature overnight lows near 24°C amid subtropical moisture, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 23°C while rain and urban heat retention favor 25–26°C readings at official stations. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble outputs, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines where minima rarely fall below 22°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance through the morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 21?
23°C 60%
22°C 54%
25°C 34%
24°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
54%
23°C
60%
24°C
24%
25°C
34%
26°C
60%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 60%
22°C 54%
25°C 34%
24°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$135 Vol.
1%
21°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$27 Vol.
54%
23°C
$87 Vol.
60%
24°C
$73 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$20 Vol.
60%
27°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan around 24–26°C on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature overnight lows near 24°C amid subtropical moisture, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 23°C while rain and urban heat retention favor 25–26°C readings at official stations. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble outputs, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines where minima rarely fall below 22°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance through the morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$830End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan around 24–26°C on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature overnight lows near 24°C amid subtropical moisture, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 23°C while rain and urban heat retention favor 25–26°C readings at official stations. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble outputs, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines where minima rarely fall below 22°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance through the morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$830End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan around 24–26°C on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature overnight lows near 24°C amid subtropical moisture, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 23°C while rain and urban heat retention favor 25–26°C readings at official stations. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble outputs, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines where minima rarely fall below 22°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance through the morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions