**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily minimum of 23–25°C in Chongqing on September 26, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** High humidity (around 80–90%) and recent pattern of weak frontal activity have kept overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. Historical September averages for the city are near 22°C, but the ongoing moisture and lack of strong cold-air advection support the warmer end of the range. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance converging on this narrow band; any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this scientific baseline against residual uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 26?
29°C or higher 98%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
98%
29°C or higher 98%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily minimum of 23–25°C in Chongqing on September 26, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.**
High humidity (around 80–90%) and recent pattern of weak frontal activity have kept overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. Historical September averages for the city are near 22°C, but the ongoing moisture and lack of strong cold-air advection support the warmer end of the range. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance converging on this narrow band; any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this scientific baseline against residual uncertainty in short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily minimum of 23–25°C in Chongqing on September 26, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.**
High humidity (around 80–90%) and recent pattern of weak frontal activity have kept overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. Historical September averages for the city are near 22°C, but the ongoing moisture and lack of strong cold-air advection support the warmer end of the range. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance converging on this narrow band; any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this scientific baseline against residual uncertainty in short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47de9d...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily minimum of 23–25°C in Chongqing on September 26, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** High humidity (around 80–90%) and recent pattern of weak frontal activity have kept overnight lows elevated compared to clearer conditions. Historical September averages for the city are near 22°C, but the ongoing moisture and lack of strong cold-air advection support the warmer end of the range. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance converging on this narrow band; any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this scientific baseline against residual uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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