The market's decisive positioning at 28°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for June 3, 2026, which matched that exact value. June climatology in Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 25–28°C under prevailing warm, humid subtropical flow with minimal cool-air intrusions, consistent with the above-normal seasonal temperature outlook issued by the Observatory. Model guidance and regional analyses showed no atypical cooling mechanisms, such as stronger northeast monsoon surges, that might have driven readings lower. Only a rare post-verification station adjustment or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome, though historical precedent indicates daily minimums are rarely revised after initial reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 3?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$140,373 Vol.
$140,373 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$140,373 Vol.
$140,373 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
22°C or below
$580 Vol.
No
23°C
$585 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,306 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,904 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,041 Vol.
No
27°C
$26,157 Vol.
No
28°C
$46,001 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$19,706 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,790 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,417 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$5,886 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive positioning at 28°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for June 3, 2026, which matched that exact value. June climatology in Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 25–28°C under prevailing warm, humid subtropical flow with minimal cool-air intrusions, consistent with the above-normal seasonal temperature outlook issued by the Observatory. Model guidance and regional analyses showed no atypical cooling mechanisms, such as stronger northeast monsoon surges, that might have driven readings lower. Only a rare post-verification station adjustment or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome, though historical precedent indicates daily minimums are rarely revised after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$140,373End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive positioning at 28°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for June 3, 2026, which matched that exact value. June climatology in Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 25–28°C under prevailing warm, humid subtropical flow with minimal cool-air intrusions, consistent with the above-normal seasonal temperature outlook issued by the Observatory. Model guidance and regional analyses showed no atypical cooling mechanisms, such as stronger northeast monsoon surges, that might have driven readings lower. Only a rare post-verification station adjustment or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome, though historical precedent indicates daily minimums are rarely revised after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$140,373End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's decisive positioning at 28°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for June 3, 2026, which matched that exact value. June climatology in Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 25–28°C under prevailing warm, humid subtropical flow with minimal cool-air intrusions, consistent with the above-normal seasonal temperature outlook issued by the Observatory. Model guidance and regional analyses showed no atypical cooling mechanisms, such as stronger northeast monsoon surges, that might have driven readings lower. Only a rare post-verification station adjustment or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome, though historical precedent indicates daily minimums are rarely revised after initial reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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