Diverging short-term forecast models for nocturnal radiative cooling drive the near-even split in trader sentiment on Jeddah's September 26 minimum temperature. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, combined with light northerly winds, typically limits overnight drops, yet recent observations show a dip to 26.7°C on September 23 amid clearer skies. Historical September minima average 26–29°C, with 30–32°C more common under stable high-pressure patterns. Model disagreements center on cloud cover, dew-point suppression, and any subtle steering influences that could either enhance cooling toward 26°C or sustain heat above 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 26?
36°C or higher 97%
29°C 40%
27°C 39%
28°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
40%
30°C
27%
31°C
39%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C
39%
36°C or higher
97%
36°C or higher 97%
29°C 40%
27°C 39%
28°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
40%
30°C
$21 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C
$0 Vol.
39%
33°C
$0 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
39%
35°C
$0 Vol.
39%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Diverging short-term forecast models for nocturnal radiative cooling drive the near-even split in trader sentiment on Jeddah's September 26 minimum temperature. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, combined with light northerly winds, typically limits overnight drops, yet recent observations show a dip to 26.7°C on September 23 amid clearer skies. Historical September minima average 26–29°C, with 30–32°C more common under stable high-pressure patterns. Model disagreements center on cloud cover, dew-point suppression, and any subtle steering influences that could either enhance cooling toward 26°C or sustain heat above 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$21End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Diverging short-term forecast models for nocturnal radiative cooling drive the near-even split in trader sentiment on Jeddah's September 26 minimum temperature. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, combined with light northerly winds, typically limits overnight drops, yet recent observations show a dip to 26.7°C on September 23 amid clearer skies. Historical September minima average 26–29°C, with 30–32°C more common under stable high-pressure patterns. Model disagreements center on cloud cover, dew-point suppression, and any subtle steering influences that could either enhance cooling toward 26°C or sustain heat above 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47de9d...Diverging short-term forecast models for nocturnal radiative cooling drive the near-even split in trader sentiment on Jeddah's September 26 minimum temperature. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, combined with light northerly winds, typically limits overnight drops, yet recent observations show a dip to 26.7°C on September 23 amid clearer skies. Historical September minima average 26–29°C, with 30–32°C more common under stable high-pressure patterns. Model disagreements center on cloud cover, dew-point suppression, and any subtle steering influences that could either enhance cooling toward 26°C or sustain heat above 35°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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