Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a daily minimum near 31°C for Jeddah on September 3, driven by persistent Red Sea humidity, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer thermal inertia that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 27–29°C, with rare drops below 25°C tied to atypical synoptic patterns. The market’s highest implied probability on 24°C or below (45%) versus clustered odds near 28–32°C reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions ahead of the event, while the near-zero odds for 34°C+ align with established coastal climatology. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 3?
24°C or below 90%
33°C 50%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
90%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
50%
34°C or higher
2%
24°C or below 90%
33°C 50%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
90%
25°C
$5 Vol.
49%
26°C
$5 Vol.
49%
27°C
$5 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$0 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
27%
32°C
$0 Vol.
27%
33°C
$5 Vol.
50%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a daily minimum near 31°C for Jeddah on September 3, driven by persistent Red Sea humidity, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer thermal inertia that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 27–29°C, with rare drops below 25°C tied to atypical synoptic patterns. The market’s highest implied probability on 24°C or below (45%) versus clustered odds near 28–32°C reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions ahead of the event, while the near-zero odds for 34°C+ align with established coastal climatology. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a daily minimum near 31°C for Jeddah on September 3, driven by persistent Red Sea humidity, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer thermal inertia that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 27–29°C, with rare drops below 25°C tied to atypical synoptic patterns. The market’s highest implied probability on 24°C or below (45%) versus clustered odds near 28–32°C reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions ahead of the event, while the near-zero odds for 34°C+ align with established coastal climatology. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate a daily minimum near 31°C for Jeddah on September 3, driven by persistent Red Sea humidity, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer thermal inertia that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 27–29°C, with rare drops below 25°C tied to atypical synoptic patterns. The market’s highest implied probability on 24°C or below (45%) versus clustered odds near 28–32°C reflects trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions ahead of the event, while the near-zero odds for 34°C+ align with established coastal climatology. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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